Short Run Aggregate Supply:
- Period in which wages and other input prices remains fixed as price level increase or decrease
Long Run Aggregate Supply:
- Period of time in which wages have become fully responsive to change in price level
Effects over short-run:
- In short run, price level changes allow for companies to exceed normal outputs and hire more workers because profits are increase while wages remain constant.
- In the long run, wages will adjust to the price level and previous output levels will adjust accordingly.
Equilibrium in the Extended Model:
- The extended model means the inclusion of both the short run and long run AS curves.
- The long run AS curve is representative with a vertical line.
Demand pull inflation in the AS model
- Demand-pull: prices increase based on the increase in AD
- In Short run, demand pull will drive up prices and increase production.
- In long run, increase in AD will eventually return to previous level.
Cost Push and the Extended Model
- cost-push arises from factors that will increase per unit cost such as increase in the price of a key resource.
- Short run shifts left. What is important is that in this case, it is the cause of price level increase, not the effect.
Dilemma for the Government
- In an effort to fight cost-push. The government can react in two different ways.
- Action such as spending by the government could begin an inflationary spiral.
The Long-Run Phillips Curve
- Natural rate of unemployment is held constant.
- Because the Long Run Phillips curve exists at the natural rate of unemployment (UN) Structural changes in the economy that UN will also cause the Long-Run Phillips Curve to shift.
- Increase in UN will shift Long-Run Phillips Curve right.
- Decrease in UN will shift Long-Run Phillips Curve left.
Short Run Phillips Curve:
- Trade of between inflation and unemployment.
Long Run Phillips Curve:
- NO trade of between inflation and unemployment in the long run.
- Occurs at natural rate of unemployment.
- Represented by vertical line.
- Long Run Phillips Curve will shift if the LRAS shifts.
Natural rate of unemployment is equal to frictional +structural + seasonal unemployment.
Maj LRPC assumption is that more worker benefits create higher natural rates and fewer worker benefits creates lower natural rates.
Supply Shock
- Rapid and significant increase in resource cost, which causes SRAS curve to shift.
- Most likely shift to left and SRPC will shift right.
Misery Index
- Combo of inflation and unemployment in any given year.
- Single digit misery is good.
Reaganomics/Supply Side Economics
- Show change in AS not in AD, which determines the level of inflation, unemployment notes and economy growth.
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Inflation: a general rise in the price level
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Deflation: A general rise in the price level
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Disinflation: a decrease in inflation rate over time
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Stagflation: unemployment and inflation increasing at the same time
Supply side economists:
- Support policies that promote GDP growth by arguing that high marginal tax votes along with the current system of transfer payments: Unemployment compensation welfare programs provide disincentive to work, invest, innovate and undertake entrepreneurial ventures.
Low marginal tax rates:
- induce more work, thus AS increase.
- also makes leisure more expensive and work more attractive.
Incentives to save and invest:
- High marginal tax rates reduce the rewards for saving and investment.
- Consumption might increase, but investments depend upon saving.
- Lower marginal tax rates encourage savings and investing.
Laffer Curve:
- Theoretical relationship between tax rates and government revenue.
- As tax rates increase from (0) tax revenues increase from 0 to some max level and then declines.
Criticism of Laffer Curve:
- Research suggests that the impact of the tax rates on incentives tow work, save, and invest are small.
- Tax cuts increase demand, which can fuel inflation and demand may exceed supply.
- Where the economy is actually located on the curve is difficult to determine.